Ghosts in the Machine

We are Spirits in the Material World (Source: “Betty Boop in Snow White”, 1933)

Back in the 90s, while I was still on active duty, I joined a Compuserve online forum for active and veteran military members. I remember a post by an Air Force captain retelling an incident that happened in the skies over Iraq during Operation: Desert Storm.

This occurred during the initial combat missions while the Coalition Forces were establishing air supremacy. On one mission, the captain was flight commander for about half a dozen fighters. They were flying above the clouds when his wingman reported a radar contact underneath the clouds. The IFF (Identify Friend or Foe) transponders did not indicate that these were friendly planes, so his wingman recommended attacking (which, under the rules of engagement at that phase, was the correct response).

Something about the whole thing felt off to the captain. He instructed the flight to wait for visual confirmation.

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Schrodinger’s Cat

I haven’t owned a television for the last fifteen years.

Call it an odd twist of fate, but I was gradually weaned off of television since college. A lot of people, especially in the younger generation, find the concept of life devoid of TV as inconceivable.

However, instead of television, I do watch a lot of YouTube, especially by independent content creators covering diverse fields such as pop culture, Slavic hardbass music, law, and cooking.  And since the Amber Heard/Johnny Depp trial, I’ve been watching a lot of livestreams about the entertainment industry.

And one metaphor that’s been popping up lately is the analogy of Schrödinger’s Cat.

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Running on Empty

At the lowest point in my life, I had less than twenty dollars to my name.

It was 2004, and I had been unemployed for nearly a year. Due to the circumstances under which I was terminated, I was denied unemployment insurance, forcing me to live on meager savings that ran out within a couple of months. I ended up selling almost all of my gaming and science fiction books and toys on eBay just to have money to pay the mortgage. As for food and gas, I did the dumbest thing you could ever do: max out my credit cards and play the balance juggling game to stay solvent.

It was so bad, I almost got arrested for bouncing a check on a speeding ticket.

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Take the Long Way Home

Live Free or Die

For most people, 2021 will be remembered as 1 PC (post-COVID). Some people have spent this year resigning themselves to the New Normal. Others have been struggling to return to the Old Normal, life before social distancing, masks, and vaccines.

For me, however, 2021 was the watershed for the New Old Normal.

In this year that’s just ending, I left Kentucky, the place I had been living for half my lifetime, and moved back to New Hampshire, my childhood home. Since announcing my departure back in August, many people have asked what made me decide to leave. The answer I gave was simply, “After COVID, I decided it was time to come home.”

This works fine for small talk over cocktails. But much like the rest of 2021, the truth is much more complicated.

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Complexity

Complexity rises at an exponential rate to the size of a project. This applies whether your project is business or personal in nature.
The corollary to that is that the risk of failure (of any scale) also rises at an exponential rate to complexity. And when you apply the first rule to the corollary, this means that the odds of something going wrong on a large project are near certain.
There’s also another corollary, that time to work on even the basic tasks increases with complexity. (How fast sometimes depends.) Which means that a big project is almost certainly late and buggy.
The conclusion is obvious: keep your projects small, with very short lead times. You are more likely to deliver on-time, and with less mistakes.
Please note that big projects are not the same as big goals. You can have big goals — but it’s going to take you a long chain of small projects to get to that goal.
This will also allow you to change course relatively quickly in case your goals change. And the likelihood of that also rises with the size of your goals.
An added side benefits of having a chain of small goals is that it teaches you to build a system. Because inevitably you’ll find yourself doing the same set of tasks from one small project to another.
Because you’re working towards your goals in a chain of small projects, make sure the links are approximately the same size, whether in terms of money or time.
For example, many companies that implement Agile software often have a two week scrum cycle. It’s long enough to get any meaningful work done, but also short enough to limit time delays and complexity bloat.